I had a good feeling
going into Week 6 with our 5 picks. We
only went 3-2, but I felt like we took the RIGHT side in each of the games. The Titans were covering for 55 minutes of
their game and ended up winning outright.
The Bucs crushed the Chiefs. The
Packers crushed the Texans. The Ravens
and Patriots were each up double digits in the 4th quarter, but neither
covered. I’ll just pretend that means we’re
going to get lucky and hit all 5 one of these weeks when a couple of our guys
have the WRONG side.
My Thursday “Guessing
of the Lines” picks went 3-0 again this week (Titans, Skins, Browns) to improve
to 15-2 ON THE SEASON! While I DID
expect to hit those picks in the mid-50% range or higher all season, 88.2% is
slightly outrageous.
Home underdogs went 3-0
ATS in Week 6 (67.2% for the year), while Road underdogs went 8-2 (61.6% for
the year). TRUST ME, at some point these numbers are
going to regress. Obviously I don’t know
when that will be, since I’ve been saying I think it might start happening each
of the last 3 or so weeks.
Leaderboard through 6
weeks:
| HEISENBERG . | 22 |
| BILL REISER . | 21.5 |
| VLBD . | 21.5 |
| THE NUTS . | 21 |
| VIEWFROM VEGAS.COM. | 21 |
| SULLY SPORTS . | 21 |
| JAY STONES . | 21 |
| MAKIN DOUGH . | 21 |
| CARDIFF GIANT . | 20.5 |
| SILENT V . | 20.5 |
| HIGH RROLLER STEAM.COM. | 20.5 |
| THE BETTING DOCTOR | 20.5 |
| KURLY . | 20.5 |
| FATBOY . | 20.5 |
| ANCRCHIOTS UNITED. | 20.5 |
| THERE WILL BE BLOOD. | 20.5 |
| THE COUNT. . | 20.5 |
I have been following
Dave Tuley (VIEWFROM VEGAS.COM) for the last few weeks. As you can see, he jumped into a tie for 4th
overall with his 2nd 5-0 week of the year. There were 63 other contestants that joined
Dave with a 5-0 week, and 39 contestants who went 0-5.
All teams have played
at least a handful of games up to this point.
The true identities of most teams have been exposed. From now through the rest of the season, you’ll
see the upper tier SuperContest contestants start to post lots of 3s, 4s, and
5s. Hopefully, THE BISNESS is one of
those contestants. After a rough 1st
3 weeks, we’ve gone 4-1, 3-2, and 3-2.
If we can average 10 points every 3 weeks for the rest of the season
(something a bit easier to say and much more difficult to execute), we will
arrive at our goal of 51 points (60%) and SHOULD get in the cash.
As I said before,
underdogs continue to crush spreads and are now hitting at 62.8%. Here’s the rest of the splits through Week 6.
| Totals | ||||
| W | L | T | % | |
| 21 | 10 | 1 | Home Dog | 67.2% |
| 21 | 34 | 1 | Home Fav. | 38.4% |
| 34 | 21 | 1 | Road Dog | 61.6% |
| 10 | 21 | 1 | Road Fav. | 32.8% |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | Home PK | 33.3% |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | Road PK | 66.7% |
| 31 | 53 | 2 | Favs | 37.2% |
| 53 | 31 | 2 | Dogs | 62.8% |
| 42 | 44 | 2 | Home | 48.9% |
| 44 | 42 | 2 | Road | 51.1% |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | PK | 50.0% |
| 89 | 89 | 4 | ALL | 50.0% |
How are the members of
THE BISNESS doing individually??
| Willy Walrus | 1-0-0 | |
| Bucky Bluebird | 1-0-0 | |
| Freddy Ferret | 1-0-0 | |
| Herby Hamster | 0-1-0 | |
| Peter Penguin | 0-1-0 | |
| Willy Walrus | 5-1-0 | 5 |
| Herby Hamster | 3-3-0 | 3 |
| Bucky Bluebird | 3-3-0 | 3 |
| Freddy Ferret | 3-3-0 | 3 |
| Peter Penguin | 1-5-0 | 1 |
A little birdy was
chirpin’ about Herby discontinuing his Friday “LOCK OF THE WEEK” column after
he lost 2 straight picks and dropped to .500 on the year. Is Herby a quitter? I guess we’ll find out Friday.
How are the rest of
the guys picking through 6 weeks?
| VIEWFROM VEGAS.COM | 5-0-0 | 5 |
| NOW 100% SWEAT FREE | 4-1-0 | 4 |
| THE BISNESS | 3-2-0 | 3 |
| SIMBOTICS | 3-2-0 | 3 |
| FEZZIK | 3-2-0 | 3 |
| TEAM WHODID | 3-2-0 | 3 |
| SANS SOUCI | 3-2-0 | 3 |
| VIEWFROM VEGAS.COM | 21-9-0 | 21 |
| TEAM WHODID | 16-12-2 | 17 |
| THE BISNESS | 15-15-0 | 15 |
| SIMBOTICS | 14-15-1 | 14.5 |
| NOW 100% SWEAT FREE | 14-16-0 | 14 |
| SANS SOUCI | 14-16-0 | 14 |
| FEZZIK | 13-16-1 | 13.5 |
Everyone had a solid
week. Overall, the listed contestants
went 24/35 (68.6%) this week. Expect most
of these guys to continue with lots of 3s, 4s, and 5s for the rest of the
season.
I’ll see ya in a
couple of days when I take my stab at the Week 7 lines and tell you how MY
misses should influence YOUR picks!
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