Away | Home | Guess | SC Line |
Steelers | Titans | Steelers -10.5 | Steelers -5.5 |
Raiders | Falcons | Falcons -7.5 | Falcons -8.5 |
Cowboys | Ravens | Ravens -5.5 | Ravens -3.5 |
Bengals | Browns | Bengals -3 | Bengals PK |
Rams | Dolphins | Dolphins -3.5 | Dolphins -3.5 |
Colts | Jets | Jets -3.5 | Jets -3 |
Lions | Eagles | Eagles -6 | Eagles -4.5 |
Chiefs | Bucs | Bucs -4 | Bucs -3.5 |
Bills | Cards | Cards -4 | Cards -4.5 |
Pats | Seahawks | Pats -5 | Pats -3.5 |
Giants | 49ers | 49ers -4 | 49ers -4.5 |
Vikes | Redskins | Redskins -2.5 | Vikings -2.5 |
Pack | Texans | Texans -6 | Texans -3.5 |
Broncos | Chargers | Chargers -3 | Chargers -1.5 |
Ishka-bibble! I missed 2 lines by 5 points this week! Let’s try to rationalize what’s going on
here.
Steelers @ Titans
LaMarr Woodley, Troy
Polamalu, and Jake Locker will not participate in tonight’s on field
activities. Why, you might ask? All three of these guys are members of the
Kevin Brockmeier Book Club. Brockmeier happens
to be presenting a free public reading at 8 PM tonight in the Governors Room of
the Overman Student Center at Pittsburgh State University. Woodley, Polamalu, and Locker all have taken
for granted that the Steelers will crush the Titans regardless of whether any
of them play. Since the public reading
is taking place in Pittsburgh, it just felt right for Polamalu and Woodley to
take it in. Polamalu was quoted as
saying “It just makes sense to attend…Kevin is such a wonderful author, and THE
READING IS TAKING PLACE RIGHT HERE IN MY BACKYARD!”
That was obviously a
joke. Well…not the part about Brockmeier
presenting a reading at PSU. That’s
actually happening. But Woodley,
Polamalu, and Locker aren’t in his book club…to my knowledge. They’re just not playing because they’re injured.
In all seriousness, why
is this line so low? Part of it is
obviously because 2 key pieces of the Steelers defense are missing. But based on the Titans collective lack of
effort/talent/success this year, shouldn’t the line be at least 7? Wait a minute…the Steelers are 2-0 at home
and 0-2 on the road this year. Their
losses came to an average team and a below average team, the Broncos and
Raiders, respectively. Despite the
perception many people have that the Steelers are a perennial powerhouse, they haven’t
actually proven anything yet this year. Talent
on paper doesn’t win games. Execution
does.
Until the Steelers win
on the road or beat a good team, don’t automatically check the box next to
their name on your betting ticket. The
Titans have looked horrible this year. I
get that, but do you think they’re giving up?
Hasselbeck is a backup QB this year.
Don’t you think he’s trying to prove something and win the starting
job? He had quite a few solid seasons
over the years.
Here’s my prediction:
Hasselbeck won’t have
2 bad games in a row. The Titans are
going to be motivated for a night game in which no one thinks they have a
chance to win. Chris Johnson will be
jacked up to show the world he’s not just an afterthought. The Steelers are missing a few guys, but you
know they still think they can beat the Titans with blindfolds on. Fight your urge to take the better team in
this one. Bad teams cover spreads too,
and tonight that’s what you’re gonna see.
Take TITANS +5.5 and KNOW YOU MADE THE RIGHT PLAY!
Bengals @ Browns
As of now, there are
no definitive player absences for this game.
Joe Haden’s suspension is over.
He will be back on the field for the Browns.
Let’s make this
easy. The Bengals are 3-2. The Browns are 0-5. All you have to do is pick the winner of this
game. GO! No brainer…check the box…BENGALS....WRONG!!!
These 2 teams already
played once this year in Week 2. The
Bengals won by 7 at home. Both offenses
had no problems scoring. The Browns were
down double digits multiple times in that Week 2 game and kept fighting
back. These teams are divisional
opponents that know each other inside and out.
You can throw the records out the window. Expect the Browns to get off the shnide on
Sunday. At worst, the Browns keep this
game close with a good chance of pulling it out in the end. But don’t be surprised if they win by a TD or
more either. Take BROWNS PK
Vikings @ Redskins
It’s hard for me to
say exactly what is going on with this line.
It opened as the Redskins being a slight favorite. The SuperContest line has Vikings -2.5. The SC line would make sense if RG3 wasn’t
playing, but it appears he WILL play.
Are the sharps simply crushing the Vikings side and forcing Vegas to
move the line that much? Or, are the
Redskins bluffing the public into thinking RG3 will play when they know full
well he won’t? Preparing for RG3 vs.
Kirk Cousins is “slightly different.” Maybe
the Redskins will pull the swapperoony on Sunday and put Cousins out there, and
maybe they won’t. Either way, you can’t
base predictions on things uncertain, so I’ll make a prediction based on things
we DO know.
Home or Away, the
Redskins have been in every game they’ve played so far this year. They’ve already beaten the Saints and
Buccaneers on the road, and you can argue they would’ve had a good chance to
beat the Falcons if RG3 didn’t get knocked out of the game.
The Vikings haven’t
beaten anyone good on the road. The 1
road win they have this year came against the lowly Lions. In that game, the Vikings had 2 return TDs,
and Ponder’s stat line was miserable, or better yet, just nonexistent.
The Vikings are
probably a better team at this point, but it’s not a no-brainer. You can’t expect them to go on the road and
win this game, regardless of who’s quarterbacking the Redskins. Take REDSKINS +2.5
One more thing: Bucky just happened to pick the Thursday night game AGAIN this week. He is going with...
Titans +5.5
One more thing: Bucky just happened to pick the Thursday night game AGAIN this week. He is going with...
Titans +5.5
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