Week 8 Analysis: LVH SuperContest

At 1,807-1,893, the consensus finished under 50% for the 5^th time in 8 weeks.  Is that good?  A 3-2 or 4-1 week would have been huge for THE BISNESS.  Instead, we went 1-4.  Our only win was Peter’s Thursday Bucs pick.  On the bright side (if you’ll agree with me that there always is one), Peter mixed in a rare win, the contest is not yet half over, and based on how crappy everyone else’s picks continue to be, maybe we could sneak into the cash with less than 60% this season.  Hey Dana, you losers are picking at 47.5%...do you think that will make the money this season?  Stop yelling at me! ;(  Basically, each of us is going to need to go 6-3 for the rest of the year.  Is that likely?  No, it’s not.  Is it plausible.  Of course.  Last year, after Week 9 we had 21 points.  This year, after Week 8 we have 19 points.  The bottom line is:  WE NEED TO BE MORE CONSISTENT!

 

That’s enough talking about us being bad.  Let’s look at who’s crushing it so far this season:

 

KURLY .	29
SULLY SPORTS .	28.5
HEISENBERG .	28
SILENT V .	27.5
JAY STONES .	27.5
VLBD .	27
THE COUNT. .	27
THERE WILL BE BLOOD.	26.5
HIGH RROLLER STEAM.COM.	26.5
CARDIFF GIANT .	26.5
WISKY .	26
FATBOY .	26
KM SPORTS .	26
GFY .	26
BOGA DAVE .	26
KETCHUP .	26
MAKIN DOUGH .	26

 

You might want to think about following these guys at the top of the list for the rest of the season.  Last year, SANS SOUCI took an early lead in the contest and crushed picks all season long.  I expect the names at the top of this list to stay consistent this season as well.

 

 

As a whole, the contestants I’ve been following (us included) went a dismal 16-19 this week.  This week was especially frustrating.  If I would have done 5 on my own, I would have hit 4.  The pick I ended up submitting with THE BISNESS was the pick that lost.  In my Sunday post, I mentioned I liked Fezzik’s card quite a bit.  He went 4-1.  I should also mention if I would be doing the SuperContest on my own this year, I would be doing worse than THE BISNESS, so by no means am I trying to brag.  I’m just venting and making excuses for sucking.  If someone told you 4 of 5 picks were going to win and all you had to do was pick 1, and the 1 you chose ends up being the 1 that loses, that makes you extra shitty, not good but unlucky.  That’s me.

 

Records for the week and overall:

 

Peter Penguin	1-0-0
Willy Walrus	0-1-0
Bucky Bluebird	0-1-0
Freddy Ferret	0-1-0
Herby Hamster	0-1-0
Willy Walrus	6-2-0	6
Bucky Bluebird	4-4-0	4
Freddy Ferret	4-4-0	4
Herby Hamster	3-5-0	3
Peter Penguin	2-6-0	2

 

FEZZIK	4-1-0	4
NOW 100% SWEAT FREE	3-2-0	3
SANS SOUCI	3-2-0	3
TEAM WHODID	2-3-0	2
VIEWFROM VEGAS.COM	2-3-0	2
THE BISNESS	1-4-0	1
SIMBOTICS	1-4-0	1
VIEWFROM VEGAS.COM	24-16-0	24
TEAM WHODID	20-17-3	21.5
SANS SOUCI	20-20-0	20
NOW 100% SWEAT FREE	19-21-0	19
FEZZIK	18-20-2	19
THE BISNESS	19-21-0	19
SIMBOTICS	18-21-1	18.5

Let’s take a look at the splits through 8 weeks.

 

Totals
W	L	T		%
22	16	1	Home Dog	57.7%
27	46	2	Home Fav.	37.3%
46	27	2	Road Dog	62.7%
16	22	1	Road Fav.	42.3%
1	2	0	Home PK	33.3%
2	1	0	Road PK	66.7%
43	66	3	Favs	39.7%
66	43	3	Dogs	60.3%
49	62	3	Home	44.3%
62	49	3	Road	55.7%
3	3	0	PK	50.0%
114	114	6	ALL	50.0%

 

Over the last 2 weeks, Home underdogs have gone just 1-6, moving the season win % down to 57.7%.  Road underdogs are still red hot at 62.7%.  Will the Home favorites dominate in Week 9?

 

Check out the blog Thursday as I release my guesses of the lines and the actual lines.

 

I’m off to light a fire under the (_)(_)es of each of my teammates!