Tuesday, December 18, 2012

Week 15 Analysis: LVH Super Contest and Mini Contest

Is this the year 14-1 wins the Mini Contest?  Probably not, but it’s not out of the question.  There were 29 5s and 104 4s in Week 1 of the Mini Contest.  These are the contestant names of the men and women who went 5-0 this week:

 

BOWANGO .
# ELEGANT BUCKETS
SCAGNELLI .
FERAL CHILD .
HANSON .
GWA .
ATLVEGAS.COM .
THE EVIL EMPIRE 1.
BIRDIE .
VAD RUN
DAVID FROHARDT -LANE 2
ABC 4 .
LT. HARRY CALLAHAN.
MEATLOVE .
JOHNNYBO.COM.
L AND M BROS..
KDLV33 .
ABC 3 .
VINNIE VIDIVICI.
SPREADAPEDIA .
INITECH .
THE VAN BUREN BOYS
KYADEVIL .
COITUS .
DONOHUE2 .
KDLV42 .
BACKNINE. 
BETPUNK.COM .

 

As you can see, THE BISNESS didn’t quite make the list.  Our 2-3 week explains our Super Contest performance this year in a nutshell. 

 

Who holds the Super Contest lead after Week 15?

 

KURLY . 50.5
JAY STONES . 50
CARDIFF GIANT . 50
GFY . 50
PARTNERS . 49.5
TOOFDOC . 49
HEISENBERG . 48.5
AL SR. . 48.5
WISKY . 48.5
SALMON BELLY . 48
THERE WILL BE BLOOD. 47.5
ORANGE KRUSH . 47.5
MAKIN DOUGH . 47.5
BOWANGO . 47
SCAGNELLI . 47
NATALIE 2.0 . 46.5
3POINTDOG . 46.5
MIKE BOYD #1 . 46.5
# ELEGANT BUCKETS 46.5
FATBOY . 46.5

 

Well, it’s the same guy who led after Weeks 8, 10, 14, and 15.  Is anyone following this dude’s picks?  Let’s say for some reason your favorite fortune teller couldn’t see enough of the future to give you all of the correct spread picks each week, but he or she COULD tell you who was going to lead the Super Contest after Week 14.  Let’s say based on this tip you put $100 on every spread pick of KURLY’s throughout the season.  You would have had just 3 losing weeks, and you would have profited $2,154.59!

 

Let’s look at the individual records of THE BISNESS and the records of the rest of the guys we’ve been following.

 

Willy Walrus 0-1-0
Freddy Ferret 1-0-0
Bucky Bluebird 0-1-0
Herby Hamster 0-1-0
Peter Penguin 1-0-0
Willy Walrus 10-5-0 10
Freddy Ferret 8-7-0 8
Bucky Bluebird 7-8-0 7
Herby Hamster 6-9-0 6
Peter Penguin 4-11-0 4

 
Willy’s not out of the woods yet. Freddy can still tie his individual record.
 
 
THE BISNESS 2-3-0 2
FEZZIK 2-3-0 2
NOW 100% SWEAT FREE 2-3-0 2
SANS SOUCI 2-3-0 2
TEAM WHODID 2-3-0 2
SIMBOTICS 1-4-0 1
VIEWFROM VEGAS.COM 0-5-0 0
FEZZIK 38-34-3 39.5
TEAM WHODID 37-34-4 39
SANS SOUCI 39-36-0 39
SIMBOTICS 37-36-2 38
VIEWFROM VEGAS.COM 37-38-0 37
THE BISNESS 35-40-0 35
NOW 100% SWEAT FREE 34-41-0 34

 
 
Understandably, I’m not going to elaborate on these truly awesome Week 15 performances.

 

It was a big week for the favorites.  They went 10-5 overall (road: 4-2 home: 6-3)  Here’s the splits after Week 15:

 

Totals
W L T %
40 41 2 Home Dog 49.4%
59 74 4 Home Fav. 44.5%
74 59 4 Road Dog 55.5%
41 40 2 Road Fav. 50.6%
1 3 0 Home PK 25.0%
3 1 0 Road PK 75.0%
99 112 6 Favs 47.0%
112 99 6 Dogs 53.0%
99 115 6 Home 46.4%
115 99 6 Road 53.6%
4 4 0 PK 50.0%
218 218 12 ALL 50.0%

 

That’s all for this week.  I’ll leave you with a Week 16 prop bet:  

 

Who will be the starting QB for the Jets next week?

 

Mark “(Not) The Sanchise” Sanchez +500

Tim “Better Get TiVo Cuz Ya Gonna Need It” Tebow -200

Greg “Aint Got The Looks But I’m 1 & Oh In The Books/“Tebow’s Got Sore Ribs So I Got Backup Dibs” McElroy +300

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