Sunday, December 30, 2012

Week 17 Picks of THE BISNESS & the Consensus

SuperContest Week 17

BUF 79
NYJ 58
NE 95
MIA 77
CIN 87
BAL 77
PIT 168
CLE 47
HOU 116
IND 165
TEN 65
JAX 38
NYG 67
PHI 150
WAS 203
DAL 137
CHI 180
DET 98
GB 161
MIN 161
ATL 66
TB 62
NO 118
CAR 118
DEN 52
KC 73
SD 116
OAK 17
SF 53
ARI 77
SEA 89
STL 140

When I first glanced at the pick totals, I saw only the Redskins were picked more than 200 times.  During a normal week, there's roughly 3 teams who get picked at least that much.  At first, I thought this was because contestants trying to work their way into the money or trying to claim the top prize were attempting to "outthink the room" by cleverly picking those teams they thought most others around them would not pick.  I looked more closely and saw the overall pick numbers for all teams were down.  So, I went out to the Super Contest website and counted the number of contestants who didn't submit their Week 17 picks.  That number is 103.  So 13.8% of the contestants who started this contest failed to finish it.  To me, it's a matter of finishing what you started no matter how bad you're performing.  But I guess sports gamblers are in the business of making money betting sports, not "doing the right thing."  Plus, why do I care anyway?  This might make the difference between us finishing 643rd and 586th!  That is, if my assumption that when a contestant makes 0 picks that contestant has a 0% chance of getting any of those picks correct.  I'm really going to sound smart when THE BISNESS goes 0-5 this week and could have just as well not submitted our picks.

Sorry for the rant.  Here are the much-sought-after picks of THE BISNESS followed by the slightly-more-sought-after picks of other contestants:

Willy Walrus 10,6,0 Cowboys +3
Freddy Ferret 8,8,0 Bills -3.5
Bucky Bluebird 8,8,0 Ravens +2.5
Herby Hamster 6,10,0 Vikings +3.5
Peter Penguin 4,12,0 Colts +6.5

Freddy pointed out to Bucky earlier this week that bragging rights are on the line for 2nd place.  Also, Bucky and Herby have identical cumulative records of 19-13-1 for 2011 & 2012.


NOW 100% SWEAT FREE., 35, 45, 0, JAX, PHI, DET, KC, STL
FEZZIK ., 40, 37, 3, CIN, PIT, IND, PHI, DET
TEAM WHODID., 38, 38, 4, NYJ, CIN, PHI, DAL, GB
SIMBOTICS ., 40, 38, 2, NYJ, CIN, IND, CHI, CAR
SANS SOUCI ., 41, 39, 0, BUF, PIT, DAL, MIN, CAR
VIEWFROM VEGAS.COM., 41, 39, 0, MIA, PHI, MIN, TB, STL

I'll be back 1 more time in a couple of days to publish the final results and analysis of Week 17.  Then, I'll be traveling the country recruiting NFL spread betting mensas to compete for the chance to be a part of 2013's version of THE BISNESS.

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