Tuesday, November 27, 2012

Week 12 Analysis: LVH Super Contest

If THE BISNESS had a broken axel or 2 before, the wheels have now fallen off the wagon after a winless Week 12! 

 

Willy Walrus 0-1-0
Bucky Bluebird 0-1-0
Freddy Ferret 0-1-0
Herby Hamster 0-1-0
Peter Penguin 0-1-0
Willy Walrus 8-4-0 8
Freddy Ferret 6-6-0 6
Bucky Bluebird 6-6-0 6
Herby Hamster 4-8-0 4
Peter Penguin 3-9-0 3

 

We would need to run the table the last 5 weeks go make the cash, so I guess you could say the rest of this season is strictly for individual bragging rights….WAIT A MINUTE!  I may or may not have mentioned this in a prior post.  All contestants who signed up during the early signup period are eligible for the Mini Contest.  The contestant with the best record over the final 3 weeks (15-17) of the season will win $10,000.  This gives crappy contestants, ala THE BISNESS, a reason to care down the stretch.

 

A couple of the guys we’ve been following are still very much in the race after a solid Week 14

 

TEAM WHODID 3-1-1 3.5
SIMBOTICS 3-1-1 3.5
SANS SOUCI 2-3-0 2
FEZZIK 1-3-1 1.5
VIEWFROM VEGAS.COM 1-4-0 1
THE BISNESS 0-5-0 0
NOW 100% SWEAT FREE 3-2-0 3
TEAM WHODID 33-23-4 35
VIEWFROM VEGAS.COM 32-28-0 32
SANS SOUCI 32-28-0 32
SIMBOTICS 31-27-2 32
FEZZIK 28-29-3 29.5
THE BISNESS 27-33-0 27
NOW 100% SWEAT FREE 25-35-0 25

 

With 35 points, Cousin Sal (TEAM WHODID) needs to average just over 3 points per week for the last 5 weeks to make the money.  After Week 12, there are 46 contestants still picking 60% or better.  This number is down from 70 last week.  Expect it to settle right around 25 by the time the contest is done. 

 

Bill Simmons, SANS SOUCI, and Dave Tuley all have a fighting chance at the cash, needing to average just under 4 points per week or better the rest of the way.

 

As you will see below, Al’s dad is the fresh face at the top of the leaderboard…

 

AL SR. . 40.5
THERE WILL BE BLOOD. 40
BITTERBATTER & JELLY 40
CARDIFF GIANT . 39.5
HEISENBERG . 39.5
MAKIN DOUGH . 39.5
KURLY . 39.5
MALU MAN . 39
MIKE BOYD #1 . 39
SULLY SPORTS . 39
PARTNERS . 38.5
74 PITBOSS 38
TOOFDOC . 38
ERIK ZUBKOV . 37.5
SALMON BELLY . 37.5
DIRTY DECATO . 37.5
JAY STONES . 37.5
3POINTDOG . 37.5

 

I guess Week 12 WAS the week to start hitting the Home Favorites.  They went 4-2 this week and are now creeping back towards 50% at 42.1%.  Home Underdogs and Road Favorites are now at 50% exactly.

 

Totals
W L T %
32 32 2 Home Dog 50.0%
44 61 2 Home Fav. 42.1%
61 44 2 Road Dog 57.9%
32 32 2 Road Fav. 50.0%
1 2 0 Home PK 33.3%
2 1 0 Road PK 66.7%
75 91 4 Favs 45.3%
91 75 4 Dogs 54.7%
76 93 4 Home 45.1%
93 76 4 Road 54.9%
3 3 0 PK 50.0%
172 172 8 ALL 50.0%

 

That’s all for now.  I’ll be back in a day or two for some more guessing.  Last week I played pin the tail on the donkey.  I promise it won’t be as bad this week.

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